LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7
The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with announcement victories into this Saturdays game.
LSU beat against the Longhorns and went to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams seem to take over a top-four spot in the race into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point in the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs, into creating decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU to the greatest offensive launch in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That contains the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
As underdogs on BetNow the Gators come in Together with the roar of all Death Valley anticipating. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring shield keep this near? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime as well as Burrow keep rolling up and also win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in the ability of Burrow . He has transformed into a Heisman candidate, having an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the very best receiving teams in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has good length using his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is a physical existence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that can fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit they have played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the additional competitions of LSU: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Though its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of the standard of Burrow florida currently sits at 33rd. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but nevertheless has a high ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will even face a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) over the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be tested.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the QB must enhance his awareness from the pocket, then he has to get flustered with an opposing defensive lineup. Auburns according is arguably the finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and will be 85th in bag rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not out of it. He also sprained a knee in the match and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
Together with the LBs more involved from the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit needs to produce big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is considered DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman team, or even longer, in 2019.
Would be Kristian Fulton, that let the smallest sum of downs last year out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is presently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, who has not got their running game this year going. A tackle broke at the point on his approach . Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and will be going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front may not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky game.
When they dont buy Dameon or even Perine Pierce going consistently, it places a lot of pressure on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect following last week from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this game remaining closer than many.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, also Burrow is one of the more smart QBs in the FBS. But LSU isnt going to install 45 or anything close to that against a defense whos shown at all three levels. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the group has relied upon them much too much to modify the tide in matches, the Gators defense will probably work out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from Jefferson or the Chase into a late-game PIs.
But I do not expect this before late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the suitable wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
Read more: bonus 888 casino